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Medium · Stochastic Processes & Markov Chains · Numerical · ~10 min · #23

Gambler's Ruin with an Edge

You start with $3 and repeatedly bet $1. Each bet wins with probability p=0.6p = 0.6 and loses with probability q=0.4q = 0.4. You stop when you reach $10 or go broke.

What is the probability that you reach $10? Give your answer to at least three decimal places.

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Concepts

Difference equationsAbsorbing Markov chainsGambler's ruin

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